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Elon Musk hopes to ferry 80,000 civilians to The Red Planet |
This prospective trip marks huge stepping stones and a large paradigm shift in multiple fields. However, the adjacent possible doesn't seem to be large enough that this trip is currently possible. The rocket to be used will be an evolution of SpaceX's Falcon 9, but according to Musk, "It's going to be much bigger [than Falcon 9], but I don't think we're quite ready to state the payload." The prospect of mass colonization hasn't been considered by Americans in many years, so it will be interesting to see how many people are eager and willing to make this voyage and join the colony. The problem of global overcrowding will definitely play a factor in how important and potentially necessary this trip will become in the coming years. This also marks a shift toward practical fuel sources other than gasoline. Using methane will reduce the costs compared to kerosene, and it is much less risky than using hydrogen. The prospect of using a reusable rocket marks another paradigm shift and will add many considerations to the development of the rocket and the entire project.
http://news.discovery.com/space/mars-colony-spacex-121126.html
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